Forty years of markets, but for whom?
Tuhin Sarwar। Investigative Journalist। ORCID ID. 0009-0005-1651-5193
- Forty years of markets, but for whom?
- How neoliberalism tilted the odds
- Case Study 1: The Nordic model — markets with strong social floors
- Case Study 2: China’s “Common Prosperity” — hybrid or hard reset?
- Case Study 3: Latin America’s Pink Tide — fast redistribution, fragile gains
- Automation and AI: neoliberalism’s next test
- Left-wing ideas as a pragmatic toolbox
- Markets will endure. Whether equality does is up to us.
For over four decades, neoliberal economics has quietly set the rules of the global game. Deregulate, privatize, cut top tax rates, open borders for capital, trust markets to allocate resources — this has been the dominant script in Washington, Brussels, London, and beyond.
On macro charts, the record looks impressive. Many countries saw GDP surge, trade volumes explode, and stock markets hit repeated highs. New financial districts, logistics hubs, and tech clusters transformed city skylines. Yet for millions of ordinary workers, the lived reality has been very different.
Real wages in many advanced and emerging economies have stagnated. Housing, food, healthcare, and education costs have risen faster than paychecks. Secure, unionized jobs have given way to outsourcing, short-term contracts, and gig work. The widespread perception can be summed up in one bitter sentence: the rich got richer, and ordinary people got more pressure, not more power.
Data back this up. A core measure of inequality, the Gini coefficient, runs from 0 (perfect equality) to 1 (perfect inequality). According to World Bank World Development Indicators, many economies that embraced neoliberal reforms have Gini scores stuck at high levels or even increasing, despite decades of growth.
In the United States, the Federal Reserve’s FRED database shows the Gini index for disposable income around 0.417–0.418 in 2022–2023 — a figure associated with high income concentration. OECD inequality data reveal a similar pattern: the top 10% now capture an outsized share of total income and wealth in many rich countries, while the bottom 40% struggle to keep up.
The question, then, is blunt and unavoidable: who actually benefited from four decades of market-first policies — and who was left behind?
How neoliberalism tilted the odds
French economist Thomas Piketty offered a now-famous explanation. In Capital in the Twenty-First Century, he examined tax and income records from Europe and North America over more than a century. His central claim is simple but devastating: when the average rate of return on capital (r) stays above the growth rate of the economy (g) for long periods, wealth naturally concentrates at the top.
For those who start out owning assets — shares, real estate, businesses — wealth tends to grow faster than the economy as a whole. For those who mainly live on wages, income typically rises more slowly, if at all. Over decades, that gap compounds into a structural divide.
Nobel laureate Joseph Stiglitz has tracked how political choices amplified this dynamic. In People, Power, and Profits, he argues that neoliberal reforms — deregulation, tax cuts for the wealthy, privatization of public services, and the weakening of unions — shifted bargaining power decisively towards corporations and high-income households. At the same time, social spending and public investment often lagged.
The result, Stiglitz contends, is a system where market outcomes are not corrected but entrenched, leading to higher inequality and eroding trust in democratic institutions.
Global inequality scholar Branko Milanovic widens the lens. In Capitalism, Alone, he argues that capitalism is now the only global system — split into two main versions:
- a liberal–meritocratic capitalism in the West;
- a political capitalism centered on China.
The political rules differ, but in both variants, owners of capital — especially financial and digital capital — have gained enormous influence, while many workers face stagnant real wages and insecure employment.
These stories are written into two key indicators:
- Gini coefficients, reflecting how unequal income is before and after taxes and transfers (World Bank; OECD);
- labor’s share of income, the proportion of national income going to wages rather than profits, which ILOSTAT shows has declined in many economies.
In plain language: productivity and profits have risen; the share going to workers has not. The market survived. Equality did not.
Yet the story is not uniform. Some regions have woven left-leaning ideas into policy in ways that partially offset neoliberal pressures. Three case studies — the Nordic model, China’s “Common Prosperity,” and Latin America’s “Pink Tide” — help show what can, and cannot, be achieved.
Case Study 1: The Nordic model — markets with strong social floors
At first glance, Norway, Sweden, and Denmark look like textbook open economies. They are deeply integrated into global trade, host powerful multinational firms, and invest heavily in innovation and technology.
But beneath that open-market surface lies a robust, universalist welfare state.
According to OECD income distribution data, the Nordic countries start with market inequality comparable to other rich economies. After taxes and transfers, however, their Gini coefficients fall to around 0.26–0.28, among the lowest in the world.
In Gøsta Esping-Andersen’s classic typology in The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism, the Nordic regime is “social democratic”:
- healthcare, education, unemployment insurance, and pensions are broadly accessible;
- unions and employer organizations negotiate wages and working conditions collectively;
- Progressive taxes fund extensive social protection.
This is not an accident. It is the product of decades of political choice. The Nordic model shows that open markets do not automatically imply high inequality; if citizens choose, they can tax and regulate to keep gaps relatively small while preserving growth and competitiveness.
For ordinary people, this means that losing a job, getting sick, or having a child does not automatically translate into financial collapse. In an era of global precarity, that safety net is a powerful counterweight to neoliberal insecurity.
Case Study 2: China’s “Common Prosperity” — hybrid or hard reset?
China’s trajectory differs sharply from Scandinavia’s, but it also illustrates a deliberate pushback against extreme inequality.
After embracing market reforms in the late 1970s, China experienced one of the fastest growth spurts in history. Hundreds of millions escaped extreme poverty. Yet inequality soared along the way.
World Bank data show China’s Gini index rising steeply in the 1990s and early 2000s, then easing somewhat to the 0.37–0.40 range in recent years — still high, but lower than many Latin American countries.
Under President Xi Jinping, Beijing has launched a campaign for “Common Prosperity”. Although loosely defined, it includes:
- heavy regulatory pressure on big tech and platform firms;
- measures to curb excessive luxury and “disorderly expansion of capital”;
- renewed investment in rural development and basic services;
- efforts to reduce household burdens in education, healthcare, and housing.
China’s vast digital infrastructure and experiments with the e-CNY digital currency give the state powerful tools to target subsidies and transfers. Supporters see this as a way to use state capacity to correct the excesses of a hyper-marketized model.
Critics, however, warn that without independent media, strong legal protections, and political competition, “Common Prosperity” may entrench state power more than it empowers ordinary citizens.
Viewed purely through an economic lens, China is building its own Socialist Market Hybrid: using markets to generate growth, then using state intervention to prevent what Xi calls “polarization.” The model sits uneasily with liberal-democratic principles, but it underlines an important point: governments can choose to challenge neoliberal inequality — they are not helpless spectators.
Case Study 3: Latin America’s Pink Tide — fast redistribution, fragile gains
No region better illustrates both the promise and the limits of left-wing responses than Latin America.
The region has long been one of the most unequal worldwide. World Bank figures show that in many countries, Gini indices remain above 0.45–0.50.
In the early 2000s, the first “Pink Tide” saw left or center-left governments take power in Brazil, Venezuela, Bolivia, Ecuador, and elsewhere. They expanded social spending, raised minimum wages, and launched ambitious anti-poverty programs.
Brazil’s Bolsa Família program became emblematic: a conditional cash transfer scheme that reduced poverty significantly by providing income support tied to school attendance and basic healthcare. Poverty fell; social indicators improved.
Yet much of this progress rested on high global prices for oil, minerals, and agricultural commodities. When prices fell, fiscal space shrank. In several countries, corruption scandals, inflation, and political polarization undermined trust.
In Changing Course in Latin America, political scientist Kenneth Roberts argues that redistributive populism can deliver rapid social gains, but without stronger institutions — especially progressive tax systems, independent judiciaries, and stable party structures — those gains often prove fragile.
A second Pink Tide is now underway. Progressive leaders in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico are again trying to combine social programs, greener industrial strategies, and moderate tax reforms. Some progress is visible; yet structural constraints remain. Economies often remain commodity-dependent, elites can move capital abroad, and institutions are frequently contested.
The lesson is mixed but important: left-wing policies can make the poor less poor, but making societies genuinely less unequal requires big, long-term institutional change.
Automation and AI: neoliberalism’s next test
All of this is unfolding as a new force reshapes work: automation and artificial intelligence.
Tasks once performed by shop-floor workers, clerks, or junior analysts are increasingly handled by robotics, software, and machine learning systems. For firms, this can mean higher productivity and profit margins. For workers, it can mean fewer stable jobs, more insecure gigs, and constant pressure to reskill.
Analyses from ILOSTAT and the World Bank’s Jobs & Development platform suggest that by 2030, a substantial portion of routine jobs in advanced and middle-income economies could be at risk of automation.
This raises a crucial distributional question: who will capture the “technological rent”?
Technological rent is the extra income generated when automation allows firms to produce more with fewer workers. If most of that windfall accrues to shareholders and tech owners, while displaced workers receive little support, inequality will intensify. Gini coefficients could rise further, and labor’s share of income could fall even more.
Without deliberate redistribution — through taxation, social insurance, or public investment — the next wave of technological change could turn the current inequality problem into a full-blown crisis of social cohesion.
Left-wing ideas as a pragmatic toolbox
Against this backdrop, left-wing political thought is returning to center stage — not just as ideology, but as a pragmatic toolkit for managing inequality, protecting labor, and stabilizing societies in a high-tech capitalist world.
Among the leading proposals are:
Progressive taxation and wealth taxes
Building on Piketty’s work, many economists advocate higher marginal tax rates on very high incomes and targeted wealth taxes on the top 1–5% to fund public services and curb extreme concentration. Piketty even sketches proposals for coordinated international wealth taxation to reduce tax evasion and avoidance (Piketty, 2014).
Universal basic income (UBI)
UBI — a guaranteed basic income for all adults — has moved from a fringe idea to a live policy debate. The Stanford Basic Income Lab tracks numerous pilots around the world. In an era when AI may decouple work from livelihoods for many, UBI is seen by some as a way to ensure that productivity gains translate into a minimum level of security for everyone.
Digital unionization and platform worker rights
As millions work via platforms rather than traditional employers, protecting labor rights requires new tools. The European Commission’s Platform Work Initiative aims to ensure that many platform workers are treated as employees, with rights to minimum pay, social security, and collective representation.
For contemporary left-wing politics, this is a critical frontier: the struggle for labor rights is shifting from factory floors to smartphone screens.
Eco-socialist industrial strategies
Climate change adds another layer. Eco-socialist proposals call for phasing out fossil fuel subsidies and redirecting those funds into renewable energy, public transit, and green industry — ideally with strong worker and community ownership. The aim is a just transition: cutting emissions while creating good jobs and avoiding new inequalities.
Global minimum corporate tax
Finally, to address corporate tax avoidance, the OECD/G20 Inclusive Framework on BEPS has put forward a 15% global minimum corporate tax. Many progressive economists see this as a floor, not a ceiling, and argue for gradually raising it toward 20–25% to give countries room to fund robust welfare states without triggering a “race to the bottom.”
Together, these ideas do not abolish markets. They seek to re-balance them — to ensure that growth and technological progress are compatible with dignity, security, and fairness for the majority.
Markets will endure. Whether equality does is up to us.
Neoliberalism was sold on the promise that if markets thrived, prosperity would follow for all. Four decades later, the evidence is mixed at best. Markets have grown; so has inequality. For many, life feels more precarious, not less.
The comparative picture suggests that there is nothing inevitable about this outcome:
- In Scandinavia, strong welfare states and labor institutions demonstrate that market economies can remain competitive while maintaining relatively low inequality.
- In China, a state-driven hybrid model uses heavy intervention to curb some excesses of capital, albeit with serious concerns about political freedoms.
- In Latin America, left-wing waves have reduced poverty but struggled to alter deep structural divides permanently.
As automation and AI reshape work, the basic question becomes sharper: will we treat equality, labor rights, and social protection as optional side effects of growth — or as conditions for stable, democratic societies?
Markets are likely to endure. What is not guaranteed is that they will serve the many rather than the few. That choice — to leave inequality to the “invisible hand,” or to confront it with data-driven, humane, and genuinely redistributive policies — now lies squarely with governments, movements, and voters.
Left-wing ideas, once written off as outdated, are returning because the problem they addressed — who gets what, and why — never went away. In a neoliberal world facing climate shocks, technological upheaval, and democratic strain, those ideas may again prove essential for keeping both markets and societies from tearing themselves apart.
sources
- https://tuhinjournalist.medium.com/left-wing-ideas-in-a-neoliberal-world-can-equality-survive-the-market-3d8addb3cfc5
- Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the Twenty-First Century. Belknap Press. https://doi.org/10.4159/9780674369542
- Stiglitz, J. E. (2019). People, Power, and Profits: Progressive Capitalism for an Age of Discontent. W.W. Norton & Company. https://wwnorton.com/books/9781324004219
- Milanovic, B. (2023). Capitalism, Alone: The Future of the System That Rules the World. Harvard University Press. https://www.hup.harvard.edu
- Harvey, D. (2005). A Brief History of Neoliberalism. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/0199283267.001.0001
- Esping-Andersen, G. (1990). The Three Worlds of Welfare Capitalism. Princeton University Press. https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691028576/the-three-worlds-of-welfare-capitalism
- Roberts, K. M. (2015). Changing Course in Latin America: Party Systems in the Neoliberal Era. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139174138
- OECD (2024). Society at a Glance 2024 – Income and Wealth Inequalities. OECD iLibrary. https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/society-at-a-glance-2024_918d8db3-en/full-report/income-and-wealth-inequalities_7ac4178f.html
- OECD. Income Distribution Database. https://www.oecd.org/social/income-distribution-database.htm
- World Bank (2024). World Development Indicators: Gini Index. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI
- World Bank. Latin America and Caribbean – Gini index. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI?locations=ZJ
- World Bank. China – Gini index. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SI.POV.GINI?locations=CN
- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) (2025). U.S. Income Inequality Gini Index (Disposable Income). https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/SIPOVGINIUSA
- ILOSTAT (2025). Wages and income data. https://ilostat.ilo.org/topics/wages/
- World Bank. Jobs and Development. https://www.worldbank.org/en/topic/jobsanddevelopment
- OECD/G20. Inclusive Framework on BEPS and Global Minimum Tax. https://www.oecd.org/tax/beps/inclusive-framework-on-beps.htm
- European Commission. Platform Work Initiative (Platform Work Directive). https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/ip_21_6605
- Stanford Basic Income Lab (UBI resources). https://basicincome.stanford.edu


